Covid is under control, you heard that, right?
“If we stop testing right now, we’d have very few cases, if any.”Donald Trump, June 15, 2020
OK, you can play games with testing, but what about actual hospital admissions and deaths?
Note: John Hopkins reports data in three-day moving averages. That smooths the graph, eliminating the full extent of daily gyrations, but also means that the current data will be worse than shown.
Here are some medical headlines from the last seven days:
Texas Children’s [Hospital] admits adult patients as COVID-19 cases surgehttps://www.beckershospitalreview.com/patient-flow/texas-children-s-admits-adult-patients-as-covid-19-cases-surge.html?origin=BHRE&utm_source=BHRE&utm_medium=email&oly_enc_id=8808A6410178J6C
California hospital suspends admission of non-COVID-19 patients after spike in cases among staffhttps://www.beckershospitalreview.com/patient-flow/california-hospital-suspends-admission-of-non-covid-19-patients-after-spike-in-cases-among-staff.html
Healthcare leaders urge LA County to reopen COVID-19 surge hospitalhttps://www.beckershospitalreview.com/patient-flow/healthcare-leaders-urge-la-county-to-reopen-covid-19-surge-hospital.html
Florida to increase inspections of businesses as coronavirus cases surge.https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2020/06/21/Florida-to-increase-inspections-of-businesses-as-coronavirus-cases-surge/3371592755300/
Phoenix requires masks in public as coronavirus cases surgehttps://www.foxnews.com/us/phoenix-requires-masks-in-public-as-coronavirus-cases-surge
Utah hospital leaders beg residents to wear face masks amid COVID-19 surgeDesert News, June 23, 2020
And tonight . . .
97% of ICU beds at Texas Medical Center occupied as Covid-19 cases reach record highshttps://www.khou.com/article/news/health/coronavirus/texas-hospital-icus-crowded-with-covid-19-patients-as-coronavirus-continues-to-spread/285-aad0788d-256e-4454-8e3f-87f9c7956680
These states have ICU bed utilization rates of 70% or higher (CDC data):
- North Carolina
- South Dakota
- South Carolina
Arizona has 84% utilization of ICU beds now, up from 78% three days ago and climbing.
Among these states, only Massachusetts has no growth in new cases.
Only three states are now assessed as having the virus under control:
- New Jersey
- New York
Does that sound like the virus is under control? Instead, it may be getting worse.
The New Jersey Health Commissioner noted a disturbing trend:
- 22% of new cases are between the ages of 18 and 29
- Among these 650 cases, more than 50 have died, which is a much higher death rate than we have seen thus far with Covid.
Florida, Tennessee and Arizona also have reported growth in the disease among those under age 40. Is this a new mutation?
- Becker’s Hospital Review4\
- Desert News